Simply put, sports
betting is pitting your opinion against that of the bookmaker (or, more
accurately, his odds compilers). Increasingly, there are also sites offering
person to person betting, where an individual has the chance to play bookie
and offer his (or her) own odds to the market.
The bookmaker will issue betting odds on the outcome of an event
that you the customer will decide if you want to have a wager at
any of those odds.
But before making a wager, satisfy yourself that the odds you receive
from the bookmaker represents value.
Contents:
Basic Steps
Risk
vs. Reward
Common
Bet
Handicap
Betting
Spread
Betting
Search
For Value
Don't
Follow The Crowd
No Place
Like Home
How's The
Weather
Be Smart
Money
Management
4to1 Betting
Tips
Basic
Steps
An essential part of your betting strategy should be to formulate
an opinion before placing a bet.
Three simple steps that can aid you in forming a betting strategy
are to doing so are:
1. Analysing your own data
2. Forming independent opinions
3. Placing calculated bets
Gather as much information as possible about a specific game or
event on which you want to place a bet. This knowledge will help
you to make an informed decision and will improve your chances of
winning.
Oddsmakers are human. With over 500,000 propositions to put to market
ever year, they will make mistakes with prices or odds. It's up
to you to catch them out whenever possible.
However, there's no shortcut to achieving a successful betting strategy.
To regularly beat the bookies, you need to be better informed than
they. Your opinion and knowledge is equally valid as that of the
bookmaker. The bookmaker uses his own strategy in creating odds.
You need to find an approach that will allow you to best form your
betting strategy.
TOP
Risk
vs. Reward
Never
bet with money (no matter the size of the wager) that you cannot
afford to lose.
Every wager you make should involve a process of evaluating the
potential rewards against the potential risk.
If you believe the risk involved in attaining the reward is too
high, then don't place the bet.
But if the potential reward outweighs the risk involved in losing
your betting stake, then take a considered plunge.
"There's no such thing as a sure winner" is an adage worth
bearing in mind when weighing up the risk versus reward.
Also worth considering are factors beyond your control including
weather, injury, natural disasters, turmoil, warfare, illness, just
plain bad luck and more, can have adverse effects on your wager.
But if you act sensibly, sports betting can be a source of great
pleasure and a fun way of getting involved in the action and occasionally
gaining some profit.
TOP
Common
Bet
The most common type of sports bet is a wager on the outcome of
a single game or contest in which there is usually a favourite and
an underdog.
One well-known example of a favourite and an underdog scenario was
when Goliath met David in battle.
In that encounter, Goliath was the overwhelming favourite to win
the battle and David was the decided underdog. The odds in that
battle we think would have been reflected like this:
| |
Lads
|
Hills
|
S. James
|
| Goliath |
1/10
|
1/12
|
1/10
|
| David |
7/1
|
6/1
|
6/1
|
Goliath in this instance was the odds-on favourite.
When you back an odds-on favourite, the amount you wager exceeds
the amount you win. If you win, you'll receive both your winnings
and also get back your original stake.
David as the underdog was odds-against.
When you back the underdog, the amount of money you receive should
your selection win is greater than your stake (all winning bets
return the stake with the winnings).
Using the above odds as a guide, to win 1 unit on Goliath, you would
need to wager 10 units.
If Goliath won the battle and your money was on the giant, you would
have received a total of 11 units back (the 10 units you wagered
plus the 1 unit you won).
To back the underdog David, you would have wagered 1 unit to win
6 units. The winning bet would have gotten you 7 units back in total
(the 1 unit you bet plus the 6 units profit you won).
TOP
Handicap
Betting
Oddsmakers often handicap an event in order to make a one-sided
contest more appealing to bettors.
This handicap is most commonly applied using a point spread, but
can be any element that is used to even up an apparently one-sided
contest.
Bookmakers know that they are much more likely to attract two way
volume business in competitive events.
When a handicap is given you must decide whether the handicapper
has given the favourite too much to do in order to win, or has not
been handicapped enough.
American football matches are amongst the most common forms of handicap
betting.
Dallas might be 2.5 (2½) point favourites over Miami
If
you think Dallas will win by more than three points, then back Dallas.
If you think Dallas will win by less than two points or lose the
match (Miami win) then back Miami getting 2.5 (2½) on the
handicap.
Final score was Dallas 20, Miami 17:
Backers of Dallas (Dallas beat Miami 20 -19½ on the handicap)
are winners. Consequently, backers of Miami on the handicap lose
the bet.
Note: In the UK and Europe bookmakers tend to show their odds as
fixed odds - and are less likely to move handicaps in response to
betting activity. The Vegas bookies prefer to keep the odds constant
and alter the handicap.
Check the odds when looking at handicaps and point spreads. Bookmakers
may offer an increased handicap, but often at shortened odds.
Oddsmakers would display their odds for a level two two-team contest
by making the odds as 10/11 (expressed as 210 in European terminology
and -110 in American parlance) for either side. This means that
if you are successful you will get a return of £21 for each
£11 staked.
There are also a number of other options in wagering besides betting
on single games or events.
You can wager that two or more teams will win their games. The payoff
on this type of wager (known as an Accumulator or Multiple in Europe
and a Parlay in North America) is larger than on two single games
bet separately, because in order for your bet to win all of your
selections must win.
Football adds the "draw factor" (the third possible result
after winning & losing) to Sports betting. Aside for winning
and losing sides in football matches, there is also the possibility
of a draw deciding the outcome of a match.
In addition, football matches rarely involve handicaps or point
spreads.
Although there are instances when a team is heavily favoured, the
fact that the draw increases the number of possible outcomes from
two to three means that there are fewer odds-on favourites, compared
to other sports where there must be a winning as well as a losing
side.
TOP
Spread
Betting
Spread betting offers a range of betting opportunities across a
broad spectrum of sports and, unlike fixed odds, activity often
allows you the opportunity to close out your position and take a
profit, minimise a loss, or make a bet before the event reaches
it's conclusion.
However, spread betting can be volatile and is not recommended for
novices.
A wager where the result goes against you can result in your exposure
being much greater than you estimated and, unlike fixed odds betting,
the stake is not necessarily apparent when the wager is made.
The City of London watchdog, the Securities and Futures Association,
closely monitors all activity.
Spread Betting on Totals
The number of runs, goals and points scored, decides outcomes of
events and most spreads revolve around these totals.
If you believe the quote (spread) is too low then you would "buy".
Conversely, if you believe the quote is too high then you would
"sell".
Profits and losses are made in proportion to the stake that you
choose (see example below).
Spread Betting & Performance Index Bets
Points are awarded to contestants or teams according to their finishing
positions in an event, series of events or league tables. Several
events lend themselves well to this concept.
Points are awarded depending on finishing positions and your profit
or loss in this type bet is the difference between the figure that
you buy or sell your choices and the points that they ultimately
earn (or don't earn).
An example of an American Football Spread:
The Spread: Dallas over Miami 2-5
If you think Dallas will win by six points or more, then buy Dallas
at five points.
If you think Dallas will win by less than one point or lose the
match (Miami win) then sell Dallas at two points.
Final score: Dallas 29 - 10 Miami
Dallas would have supremacy of 19 points (the margin of the final
score).
Hence, buyers of Dallas at five points would win 14 times their
stake (the difference between the buy price of five and the supremacy
of 19).
Sellers of Dallas at two points would lose 17 times their stake
(the difference between the sell price of two and the supremacy
of 19).
An example of a Golf Spread
Who will play well and who will play badly?
Scoring: 50 points to be awarded to the winner of the group; 25
points for 2nd place; 10 points 3rd place.
|
Grouping
|
Opening Spread
|
| Tiger Woods |
16-19
|
| David Duval |
12-15
|
| Phil Mickelson |
12-15
|
| Sergio Garcia |
10-13
|
| Ernie Els |
9-12
|
| Vijay Singh |
8-11
|
| Darren Clarke |
6-8
|
Result: 1st: Woods - 50 points, 2nd: Clarke -
25 points, 3rd :Mickelson - 10 points.
Buyers
of Woods (those who thought Woods would do well) at 19, would win
31 times their unit stake. So if you bought at £5 per unit,
your winnings would be £165 (31 x £5).
Sellers of Woods (those who thought he'd do badly) at 16 lose 34
points times their unit stake. So sellers would lose £170
(34 x £5). Buyers of Clarke (supporters of Darren) at 8 win
17 times their unit stake. Sellers of Clarke (those who opposed
him) lose 19 times their unit stake.
In the above example all other sellers (those who opposed any of
the other five players in the group including Mickelson) would be
winners and buyers would be losers.
Caution: Spread betting can create an exciting element to wagering
but be aware of the risks involved. The volatility of the Spread
markets can create large losses, as well as providing big winnings.
TOP
Search
For Value
Look for value on every one of your bets.
Loosely defined, value simply is getting better than true odds (the
odds on a particular event that you believe they should be).
For example, if the bookmaker says "Team A" is the 3-point
favourite, but you believe "Team A" should be the 6-point
favourite, then 6-points are your true odds.
Value wagering is also defined as when you regard the risk/reward
ratio as being weighted in your favour.
Don't be put off backing an underdog - if you think that the oddsmakers
have got it wrong and they are decent value.
If every favourite won, there would be no bookies.
A poor team favoured by many points doesn't need to beat its opponent
in order for you to win the bet.
You can often determine value in sports such as tennis, golf, and
athletics simply by looking at the motivation, comportment and attitude
of the individual athlete.
Knowing how players react when in the spotlight and lose to winning,
adversity, or even bad luck can make the difference between a winning
and losing bet.
TOP
Don't
Follow The Crowd
Teams such as Manchester United, the NBA Los Angeles Lakers and
baseball's New York Yankees all attract huge international followings,
as does certain individuals including Tiger Woods.

The bookies' odds commonly reflect that following and are often
artificially low in anticipation of the support that they attract.
With so many fans backing these favourites, oddsmakers are frequently
forced to bias their odds and spreads in accordance.
And a value bet may very well be had when you bet against the popular
teams.
Why?
Because the underdog team will receive better odds that ordinarily
might be expected and a larger prices (odds) than is deserved.
TOP
No
Place Like Home
The home field (stadium) advantage should never be underestimated.
Sleeping in their own bed, playing at venues they know well, and
being reunited with family can all combine to give the home team
a decided advantage over their visiting opponent.
But take care. Punters may discover the odd team that actually plays
better on the road. It does happen and in that instance, good value
may be had when backing these teams away from home.
TOP
How's
The Weather?
Natural elements can often affect the outcome of a wager.
The wise punter will cast a glance at the weather forecast as he
prepares his betting strategy for an event or race that is held
outdoors.
Teams that fare well on fast-track surfaces may be hampered in wet
or muddy conditions. Windy conditions can wreak havoc with kicking
games, while high temperatures (or altitude) can slow down teams
and athletes not accustomed to those conditions.
TOP
Be
Smart
Professional bettors rarely make the mistake of chasing their losses.
You'll occasionally find yourself in a losing streak - don't worry,
it happens to the best.
But if you do lose several bets on the trot, avoid the temptation
of increasing the size of your bets in order to make up for your
losses. The clever option is to either cut back your wagering until
results start to fall in you favour.
Remember, there's over a half million betting propositions each
year upon which you can wager. Don't be fearful of taking short
wagering breaks.
TOP
Money
Management
Managing your winnings wisely is an important key to long-term betting
success.
A bettor's cardinal rule should be to never bet with money they
cannot afford to lose.
The second most important rule is to bet more money when winning
and less when losing. The old stock market adage works well here:
"Cut your losses, but let your winnings roll."
A generally accepted betting practice is for individuals to begin
wagering with a pool of money sufficient enough to comfortably carry
them over a long-term betting strategy.
Never risk the entire pool of money on one single event, even if
you think you have a "can't miss" proposition. It's much
better to be cautious and to stay in funds rather than to be rash
and possibly blow the whole pot with one losing bet.
Never risk more than 3-5 percent of your total available betting
capital on one bet.
TOP
4to1
Betting Tips
Never bet with money that you cannot comfortably afford to lose.
A £1 bet that you can afford to place will bring as much entertainment
as a £50 wager that you cannot to lose.
Check the odds with several bookmakers before placing a wager. It
is a competitive market and you will usually find that there are variations.
Remain consistent in your approach to sports wagering. Adopt an objective
and disciplined method and you'll be more likely to win.
No matter how good and thorough your preparation, or deep your knowledge,
you will lose on some bets. That's okay - you can't win them all.
Your enjoyment of sports contests will be enhanced if you take a long-term
view to sport wagering and consider it as a fun leisure activity.
If you find yourself mired in a sustained losing streak, STOP BETTING.
Take a break and re-think your betting strategy.
Never bet when you are not confident or unsure.
Keep a record of all your wagers. It will help you to better understand
why you win or lose.
TOP
|